日經nikkie已到了短底

nikkie has achieved a short term bottom (127xx roughly). the day open 12706.41 is almost the forecasted base and then followed by a further shake-out to 12548 then a squeeze up to now.

short term bottom means 1 or 2 weeks consolidation here and certain bounce. look for the downfall to continue after the oversold is corrected.

since jpn gov't announced their QE, nikkie been skyrocketed by 50%, a classic death-rocket signal (same as hang seng index in 2007 triggered by thru-train, +50% also).

for prudence sake, lets give nikkie "a hope", if it cant break 15900~16120 within june, disaster will be with japan stock market.

率先彈完
彈了2000點, 是很好味的.
由12700到148xx, 當中曾有震倉 (shake out), 利潤仍是非常可觀.

however, the technical bounce of  nikkie seems finished last friday at DO (day open).  if there is long positions, square 'em, close all of 'em.

my last recommendation in jun/jul was to dodge a correction, and nikkie reached 132xx in late august.

my latest view is it will perform, maybe a sucker rally to 175xx or at most 179xx/180xx early next year. the 179xx is also the sucker rally in 2007 where year high was achieved and major correction was about to start. after that sucker rally in 2007, free falling happened until march 2009.

to sum up, go ride with nikkie's QE bounce to 175xx, then take a look if it would keep going up to 179xx or not.

last week when nikkie was 155xx, now 16291. potential profit is 1200pts (17500-16291) or 1800pts (180xx-16291).

1200pts profit / current level 16291 = 7% up (if no leverage tools)

its sux... ...
not even break that 16500. i should have advised where is the loss stop, the gap-up refill at 15200.

i didnt update cuz theres no one in this finance forum.

if there isnt any significant bounce after achieving 13750 (may soon arrive there by in couple day), then my predicted sucker rally is a big failure.